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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient Empty Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:34 pm

And yet, Modi’s rise and rise has less to do with his Hindutva credentials and appeal than his secular critics would like to believe. Modi is where he is today – on the cusp of power — not because the country is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient. Every opinion poll that shows him inching towards power sets off a bull run on the Bombay Stock Exchange. In a recent dispatch for the Financial Times, James Crabtree noted the exceptional gains notched up by Adani Enterprises – the company’s share price has shot up by more than 45 per cent over the past month compared to the 7 per cent rise registered by the Sensex. One reason, an equities analyst told the FT, is that investors expect a government headed by Modi to allow Adani to expand his crucial Mundra port despite the environmental complications involved. “So the market is saying that, beyond the simple proximity of Mr Adani and Mr Modi, these clearances may no longer be so hard to get under a BJP regime,” the analyst is quoted as saying.

The word ‘clearances’ sounds benign but what it really signifies is Modi’s willingness to accommodate the desire of capital to expand in any way it wants – horizontally, across land and field, vertically, above and below the earth, and laterally, in terms of accommodating the demands of foreign investors, including for the opening up of the insurance and retail sectors. And if environmental rules, livelihoods, farmsteads or community interests intervene, they must perforce make way with the vigorous backing and assistance of the government. It is this promise of ‘decisiveness’ that has made Modi such an attractive proposition for Indian – and global — big business today.

http://svaradarajan.com/2014/03/27/the-cult-of-cronyism/

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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient Empty Re: Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:37 pm

What Varadarajan is saying is that Modi will give away Indian natural resources to Big Business for peanuts in return for their financial support for his leadership.

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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient Empty Re: Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

Post by truthbetold Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:42 pm

Rash,

But it is never because sonia, mms, rahul and diggy screwd up and did not know how to run a country and how to be honest and how to communicate with people. 

It is because Indian people became communal and anti secular.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:43 pm

Two years later, at the 2011 Vibrant Gujarat meet, the prize for florid rhetoric went to Mukesh Ambani: “Gujarat is shining like a lamp of gold and the credit goes to the visionary, effective and passionate leadership provided by Narendra Modi. We have a leader here with vision and determination to translate this vision into reality.” In 2013, it was again the turn of his estranged brother. “Anil Ambani hailed chief minister Narendra Modi as the King among Kings,” the Economic Times reported, and requested the audience to give the CM a standing ovation. “The audience readily relented.” Others who spoke included a who’s who of top industrialists.  If there was no repeat of the ‘Modi for PM’ chant this time around, it was only because India Inc had already made its choice clear.

Looking back, a major turning point in this evolving matrix of business and political interests was surely the Niira Radia tapes drama of 2010. Coming close on the heels of the CAG’s dramatic exposé of the 2G scam, the Radia tapes brought out into the open the inner connections between big business, politicians, policymaking and even the media. With the Supreme Court now joining the CAG in seeking to stop the loot of public resources, it became clear that the era of easy “clearances” was now coming to an end. It was around this time that corporate India started accusing the Congress-led Manmohan Singh government – which they had strongly backed, and profited from, until then — of “policy paralysis”, “drift” and “indecisiveness.”

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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient Empty Re: Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:49 pm

As long as the Indian economy was maintaining a high rate of growth during the first term of the Manmohan Singh government, the biggest Indian companies were able to enjoy both “normal” profitability and a “crony premium.” But the joint effect of the 2008 global slowdown on inflation, and interest rates, and the blow that Radiagate, the CAG, public opinion, and a more vigilant judiciary have delivered from 2009 onwards has fatally compromised this cosy revenue model. The arraignment of the Sahara group by the Securities and Exchange Board of India and the jailing of its boss, Subrata Roy, by the Supreme Court on contempt charges is perhaps the most dramatic example of how the terrain for big business is changing. To be sure, Manmohan Singh and Finance Minister P. Chidambaram were aware of the brewing disquiet in the corporate sector and tried to tackle the problem at the easier end by creating the Cabinet Committee on Investment and making rent-friendly changes in key ministries like Petroleum and Natural Gas and Environment and Forests. But this has not been enough to restore the confidence of India Inc in the Congress party’s ability to restore the status quo ante.

It is hardly surprising that this is the time the name of Narendra Modi as a potential Prime Minister of India enters public discourse in a determined fashion. Egged on by corporate sponsors as well as by the personal preferences of their proprietors, big media swung into action to take the process of “normalizing” Modi to its logical conclusion. Barely nine years earlier, the Gujarat Chief Minister and the massacres he failed to prevent were universally acknowledged by the media as having played a key role in the defeat of the National Democratic Alliance government at the Centre in 2004. The problem was how to convince the same urban middle class India, which is repelled by the spectre of communal violence, that the solution to India’s problems lies in Modi’s leadership. This is how the myth of the ‘Gujarat model of development’ came in handy. “Today people are talking about the China model of development in Gujarat,” Anand Mahindra of Mahindra and Mahindra told the 2013 Vibrant Gujarat summit. “But the day is not far when people will talk about Gujarat model of growth in China.”

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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient Empty Re: Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:51 pm

Enough has been said and written about the statistical legerdemain that underlies Modi’s fanciful claims as an administrator who has transformed Gujarat. But in praising their Leader in this way, Corporate India is making an inadvertent admission: that what they admire the most about Modi is his love for the “Chinese model.” What is this model? It is one in which “clearances” for land, mines and the environment don’t matter. It is one in which awkward questions about gas pricing are never asked, let alone answered. Unlike the growing public support for strong institutional action against corruption that lies at the root of the visible disenchantment with the Congress, Corporate India is not interested in an end to “corruption” as such. Cronyism and rent-seeking have become an integral part of the way our biggest companies do business – a sort of ‘capitalism with Indian characteristics’ – and they are looking to Modi to run this system in a decisive, stable and predictable manner. What they want is a Leader who will manage contradictions and institutional obstacles as and when they emerge. The communalism of the hordes who follow the Modi cult is an added attraction for his corporate backers, provided the Leader is able to keep his flock in check. This is something Atal Bihari Vajpayee and even L.K. Advani were not always capable of doing. Narendra Modi is a more decisive and strong-willed man. He can be counted upon to keenly calibrate their deployment whenever a crisis requires a diversion.

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Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient Empty Re: Sidhartha Varadarajan: Narendra Modi is on the cusp of power not because India is becoming more communal but because the Indian corporate sector is becoming more impatient

Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 2:52 pm

Postscript: As this issue was going to press came news that N.K. Singh, the bureaucrat-turned-politician, who is heard on the Radia tapes trying to influence the course of a parliamentary debate on a matter concerning Reliance, has joined the Bharatiya Janata Party.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 3:02 pm

I have to say Varadarajan's analysis of the current political scenario in India is the most brilliant and illuminating I have come across in a long time.

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Post by truthbetold Sun Mar 30, 2014 3:05 pm

Rash,

I know you do not have the ability to answer this question.  But Varadarajan is not saying congress is doing any sensible service to indian people and corporate greed is seeking an alternate govt. What he was saying indian corporates supported congress in 2004 and got some results. but they were disappointed later and looked for an alternate leader.  Did Congress complain about them in 2004? did it reject their money in 2004 or 2009? Did not push jaipal reddy out of gas ministry to please Ambani? 

So what corporates are doing is taking care of their business.  Congress failed. so they find modi.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 3:15 pm

truthbetold wrote:Rash,

I know you do not have the ability to answer this question.  But Varadarajan is not saying congress is doing any sensible service to indian people and corporate greed is seeking an alternate govt. What he was saying indian corporates supported congress in 2004 and got some results. but they were disappointed later and looked for an alternate leader.  Did Congress complain about them in 2004? did it reject their money in 2004 or 2009? Did not push jaipal reddy out of gas ministry to please Ambani? 

So what corporates are doing is taking care of their business.  Congress failed. so they find modi.

One of the things Varadarajan is saying is that corruption will increase under a Modi govt. Sure, corporate India would benefit under a Modi govt, but what of the common man? Would the common man benefit under a Modi govt? The answer is NO.

And if there were any protests against corruption or anything else if Modi were to be the PM, then such protests would be crushed by playing the Hindutva card.

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Post by truthbetold Sun Mar 30, 2014 3:30 pm

Rash, 

corruption will increase compared to what? 2g, coal scam, CWG etc. Did he mention them? He wrote lot of opinion as analysis.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 3:54 pm

truthbetold wrote:Rash, 

corruption will increase compared to what? 2g, coal scam, CWG etc. Did he mention them? He wrote lot of opinion as analysis.

That is correct. The Modi govt will be more corrupt than the Congress govt. We will see many more instances of this:

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/other-states/bench-raps-gujarat-minister-for-violation-of-rules/article5610564.ece

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Post by Vakavaka Pakapaka Sun Mar 30, 2014 5:09 pm

Varadarajan is known to have personal animosity towards Modi. You should take his views with a grain of salt.

Unfortunately for him, the CONartists won't be powerful after 2014. Is he planning on moving back to the US or.......... Venezuela?

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Post by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Sun Mar 30, 2014 5:55 pm

Rashmun wrote:
truthbetold wrote:Rash, 

corruption will increase compared to what? 2g, coal scam, CWG etc. Did he mention them? He wrote lot of opinion as analysis.

That is correct. The Modi govt will be more corrupt than the Congress govt. We will see many more instances of this:

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/other-states/bench-raps-gujarat-minister-for-violation-of-rules/article5610564.ece

So you think this is MAJOR corruption in all of 12 yr Modi rule in gujarat? Do you even know how much corruption and money looted diring just 5 years of DMK, ADMK, YSR, Yeddy, and just 10 years of CONGRESS rule at the center ?

Do you just know ??? compared to Modi's Major CORRUPTION in Gujarat, where do you rate the governments I listed.

Give it straight and dont be a coward giving a run around saying even Akbar and Birbal were corrupt.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 6:03 pm

Marathadi-Saamiyaar wrote:
Rashmun wrote:
truthbetold wrote:Rash, 

corruption will increase compared to what? 2g, coal scam, CWG etc. Did he mention them? He wrote lot of opinion as analysis.

That is correct. The Modi govt will be more corrupt than the Congress govt. We will see many more instances of this:

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/other-states/bench-raps-gujarat-minister-for-violation-of-rules/article5610564.ece

So you think this is MAJOR corruption in all of 12 yr Modi rule in gujarat? Do you even know how much corruption and money looted diring just 5 years of DMK, ADMK, YSR, Yeddy, and just 10 years of CONGRESS rule at the center ?  

Do you just know ???  compared to Modi's Major CORRUPTION in Gujarat, where do you rate the governments I listed.

Give it straight and dont be a coward giving a run around  saying even Akbar and Birbal were corrupt.

The reference I gave is important because of the Supreme Court censure, not because of the corruption amount. But the fact is that Adanis, Ambanis, Tatas, et al are all clamoring for Modi because he is helping them in some way ( at the cost of the common man). Like giving away land to Big Business after evicting the farmers, or giving massive discounts for electricity consumption or gas consumption to Big Business.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 6:06 pm

AAP attack Arvind Kejriwal’s party wants an investigation into Narendra Modi’s “closeness” to Adani, dubbing him the corporate backer of the BJP’s ‘PM candidate’. Photos of Modi using the group’s corporate jets are doing the rounds.

Cheap land Adani has been accused of getting massive pieces of government land in Mundra dirt cheap (often as low as Rs 1 to Rs 16 per sq mt) when the official rates are much higher.

Green norms Another persistent charge is that the Modi government looked the other way while Adani built massive infrastructure projects in the state without getting green clearances.

CAG Scrutiny The CAG report on Gujarat reveals that the government was supplying expensive GSPC gas at cheap rates to the Adani group. Between 2006-09, this cost the exchequer Rs 70.5 crore.

Wharton withdrawal Adani withdrew its sponsorship for a Wharton Forum last year when the American university removed Modi as a keynote speaker as he did not want to get on the wrong side of Modi.

‘Jayanthi tax’ When Modi attacked former environment minister Jayanthi Natarajan, he was seen to be batting for the Adanis, whose special economic zone (SEZ) project in Mundra has run afoul of farmers and green rules.

Security Clearance Adani’s port project faced problems from the UPA government when it withheld security clearances following allegations of money-laundering and customs duty violations. It got clearance in 2013.

Karnataka Lokayukta In 2011, Justice Santosh Hegde faulted the Adani Group for illegal exports of wrongfully mined iron ore. He said the Adani group had paid many bribes.

Duty evasion In 2010, Gautam Adani’s brother Rajesh Adani was arrested on charges of evasion of customs duty. The matter was closed after the payment of a fine.

http://www.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?289708

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 6:08 pm

In fact, given Gujarat’s penchant for big business, some might ask why Adani alone is being targeted. The short answer is that Adani is the only big businessman in Gujarat who has made his billions after Modi came to power. His turnover has grown 12-fold in the years under Modi’s reg­ime to Rs 35,881 crore. Over the past 10 years, the Adani group’s listed firms have shown staggering compounded annual growth of 21.7 per cent in sales and, even better, 37.1 per cent in profit after tax. “For a first-generation company, its growth is frankly quite astounding,” says somebody who has closely tracked the group as an analyst.

http://www.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?289708


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Post by Guest Sun Mar 30, 2014 6:11 pm

In return for this support, what did Adani get? Land, cheap land, and lots of it. Ahmedabad-based lawyer Anand Yagnik has been fighting cases in the Gujarat High Court and the Supreme Court against allocation of land given to the Adani group by the Modi government. Indeed, he has horror stories to recount—all land allocation to the Adani group after Modi came to power has been done at a price much lower than the Jantri price (arrived at after evaluation of land by the Gujarat revenue department). In case more than 10 acres of land is allocated to any party at a price lower than the Jantri, the power of clearing that allocation moves from the local collector to the state revenue secretary.

The revenue ministry was headed by Anandiben Patel, a close aide of Modi. According to Yagnik, all clearances to Adani were made at a swift pace—the group got land at prices ranging between Rs 1 to Rs 16 per square metre. This when land for industrial purposes in the area is worth Rs 200-300 per sq metre. In fact, Yagnik says that in the pre-Modi regime, the Adani group’s land holding was about 3,000 acres. In the Modi era, this has increased to about 2 lakh acres, of which 45,000 acres has been given by the state. Indeed, the group has stated before the commerce ministry and submissions before the courts that it has 45,000 acres of land only for the SEZ. The Mundra port stretches over 35-40 km of coastline (almost equivalent to the size of Mumbai)­—this was given to the group for about Rs 33 crore (when the Jantri value of the land was Rs 3,000 crore).

Yagnik adds that the Adani group also did large-scale dredging in the coastal areas to support its port. This new land was evaluated by the government and given to the company at thr­owaway prices. “The land was then sold by the Adanis to IOC, ONGC and other PSUs at rates of over Rs 600 per sq metre. The Adani group was also exempted from all stamp duties for the thousands of acres of land at the SEZ, making the magnitude of this state subsidy phenomenal,” concludes Yagnik.

The other big issue is the environment. At the showcase Mundra port, Adani has also run afoul of environmentalists for violating the Coastal Regulation Zone rules, illegally cle­aring mangroves and contaminating the water with inadequately treated waste water, leading to considerable damage to the coastal areas, alleges Dr Kanubhai Kalsariya, a former BJP MLA supporting the agitating fishermen living in the Navinal village within the Mundra SEZ. The fishing communities in the area fear the destruction of their traditional fishing grounds, even denial of access to it.

At the heart of all this is a disregard for the law. “Adani proceeded on construction of facilities at Mundra without the required environmental clearances—on the basis of an in-principle clearance given to part of the land in 2004. Adani’s land was approved in 2007,” says Suresh Mehta, ex-Gujarat CM who’s also had a stint as state industries minister.

http://www.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?289708

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