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This charts indicates that it is literally impossible to get 50-60 seats in UP

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This charts indicates that it is literally impossible to get 50-60 seats in UP Empty This charts indicates that it is literally impossible to get 50-60 seats in UP

Post by rawemotions Fri Apr 25, 2014 11:01 am

http://www.rediff.com/news/report/ls-election-bjp-needs-a-tsunami-to-conquer-uttar-pradesh/20140425.htm

The chart indicates that we need a 25% vote swing even to get 40 seats and 30% vote swing to get to 60 seats. 

In any elections, even a 10% swing is considered a big achievement.

In addition we have Congress/NGO/SP/BSP doing some backroom arrangements in Varanasi to consolidate Muslim Votes against NDA.

Clearly NDTV is not telling the truth and things look very difficult for NDA. In some sense NDTV's opinion poll has ensured complacency among NDA supporters, setting up a possible repeat of 2004 situation, when euphoria/hype lulled NDA into complacency and did not match ground realities. 

In addition it is being said that the same NGO network was active even during 2004 and 2009.

rawemotions

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Post by truthbetold Fri Apr 25, 2014 11:38 am

50 is a bridge too far.

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Post by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Sat Apr 26, 2014 2:12 pm

rawemotions wrote:http://www.rediff.com/news/report/ls-election-bjp-needs-a-tsunami-to-conquer-uttar-pradesh/20140425.htm

The chart indicates that we need a 25% vote swing even to get 40 seats and 30% vote swing to get to 60 seats. 

In any elections, even a 10% swing is considered a big achievement.

In addition we have Congress/NGO/SP/BSP doing some backroom arrangements in Varanasi to consolidate Muslim Votes against NDA.

Clearly NDTV is not telling the truth and things look very difficult for NDA. In some sense NDTV's opinion poll has ensured complacency among NDA supporters, setting up a possible repeat of 2004 situation, when euphoria/hype lulled NDA into complacency and did not match ground realities. 

In addition it is being said that the same NGO network was active even during 2004 and 2009.

No matter how much the democrats hate the KOCH brothers, it is not easy to break their stranglehold.

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