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Marathadi-Saamiyaar
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Post by Propagandhi711 Sat Mar 29, 2014 10:37 am

decided to make big changes to my 401k and IRA portfolios. will sell almost all of US equity mutual funds in favor of going overweight internationally, both europe and emerging markets are currently at a 18-20% discount to their 15 yr averages. will be making the changes before end of april

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Post by nevada Sat Mar 29, 2014 10:45 am

India seems to be back in favor again. Read somewhere about a large call purchase in the India ETF.

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Post by Propagandhi711 Sat Mar 29, 2014 10:55 am

nevada wrote:India seems to be back in favor again. Read somewhere about a large call purchase in the India ETF.

yep, there are increasingly bullish calls for india to resume 7-8% growth trajectory once douchemun's employers get their asses handed to them this summer. I think it's good to make bets on infrastructure companies over there but dont know much abt them so it's probably best to just buy the iShares ETF

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Post by MaxEntropy_Man Sat Mar 29, 2014 2:46 pm

i wonder if the responsibility of governing will civilize the BJP. one can only hope.
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Post by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Sat Mar 29, 2014 2:56 pm

MaxEntropy_Man wrote:i wonder if the responsibility of governing will civilize the BJP. one can only hope.

certainly no party can be as uncivilized as congress be it killing thousands of sikhs, looting the coffers, aiding corrupt & criminal politicians, and indulging in anti-hindu activities.

BJP - at best - can only try to match congress in (mis)deeds.

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Post by rawemotions Sat Mar 29, 2014 2:56 pm

Propagandhi711 wrote:
nevada wrote:India seems to be back in favor again. Read somewhere about a large call purchase in the India ETF.


yep, there are increasingly bullish calls for india to resume 7-8% growth trajectory once douchemun's employers get their asses handed to them this summer. I think it's good to make bets on infrastructure companies over there but dont know much abt them so it's probably best to just buy the iShares ETF
Which India ETF traded in US market has options ?

[size=13.333333015441895]s probably best to just buy the iShares ETF[/size]
You mean INDA. Why not EPI or INDY ?

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Post by MaxEntropy_Man Sat Mar 29, 2014 3:26 pm

Marathadi-Saamiyaar wrote:
MaxEntropy_Man wrote:i wonder if the responsibility of governing will civilize the BJP. one can only hope.

certainly no party can be as uncivilized as congress be it killing thousands of sikhs, looting the coffers, aiding corrupt & criminal politicians, and indulging in anti-hindu activities.

BJP - at best - can only try to match congress in (mis)deeds.

a pity that you have such low expectations of the party of your choice.
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Post by Rishi Sat Mar 29, 2014 3:40 pm

MaxEntropy_Man wrote:i wonder if the responsibility of governing will civilize the BJP. one can only hope.

>>> First of all Indians must get rid of the Congress party rule.

That is the most important thing.

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Post by nevada Sat Mar 29, 2014 4:25 pm

rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:
nevada wrote:India seems to be back in favor again. Read somewhere about a large call purchase in the India ETF.


yep, there are increasingly bullish calls for india to resume 7-8% growth trajectory once douchemun's employers get their asses handed to them this summer. I think it's good to make bets on infrastructure companies over there but dont know much abt them so it's probably best to just buy the iShares ETF
Which India ETF traded in US market has options ?

s probably best to just buy the iShares ETF
You mean INDA. Why not EPI or INDY ?

EPI and PIN both have options.

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Post by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Sat Mar 29, 2014 6:37 pm

MaxEntropy_Man wrote:
Marathadi-Saamiyaar wrote:
MaxEntropy_Man wrote:i wonder if the responsibility of governing will civilize the BJP. one can only hope.

certainly no party can be as uncivilized as congress be it killing thousands of sikhs, looting the coffers, aiding corrupt & criminal politicians, and indulging in anti-hindu activities.

BJP - at best - can only try to match congress in (mis)deeds.

a pity that you have such low expectations of the party of your choice.

Unlike you, who will never ever support BJP - bcz of the imagined Modi role in Gujarati riots - and consider the Sikh-killing Gandhi-Nehru family as the ultimate gold standard for "secularism", I will consider support for a Congress without Gandhi-Nehru family in it ( I was a very vocal supporter of PVN-MMS Congress Govt.). Of the optins you have (democracy is not an efficient system but the alternative is worse), BJP is the least of the evil. Do I like these buffoons inducting Yeddy and Sabir Ali and Sreeramulu? I only hope Modi is including them with some "complex variable" math and these guys are just imaginary part of that variable.

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Post by Kris Sat Mar 29, 2014 8:30 pm

Propagandhi711 wrote:decided to make big changes to my 401k and IRA portfolios. will sell almost all of US equity mutual funds in favor of going overweight internationally, both europe and emerging markets are currently at a 18-20% discount to their 15 yr averages. will be making the changes before end of april

>>Thanks. Need to look into this. Been lax about the 401k for some time now.

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Post by rawemotions Sun Mar 30, 2014 4:10 pm

nevada wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:
nevada wrote:India seems to be back in favor again. Read somewhere about a large call purchase in the India ETF.


yep, there are increasingly bullish calls for india to resume 7-8% growth trajectory once douchemun's employers get their asses handed to them this summer. I think it's good to make bets on infrastructure companies over there but dont know much abt them so it's probably best to just buy the iShares ETF
Which India ETF traded in US market has options ?

s probably best to just buy the iShares ETF
You mean INDA. Why not EPI or INDY ?

EPI and PIN both have options.
Thanks for the info. Yes, it seems to be the case.

I was looking at Google Finance and surprisingly they do not list the same. Wonder why ?
https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3APIN&ei=JXY4U-itHaz8iQLNTA
https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3AEPI&ei=KnY4U8C7AcGciQL70wE

Not sure which Fund Propa was specifically talking about.

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Post by Propagandhi711 Wed Apr 02, 2014 9:53 am

I was talking about INDA, raw but own INP in my wife's 401k acct...that's the only one I have access to in that account.

PS here's a table showing performance of various countries' ETFs against other equities. makes a big case for rotating out of US equities which have been going up for past 18-24 months into emerging markets, euro-pacific etc:

big changes Bespoke

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Post by Propagandhi711 Wed Apr 02, 2014 9:56 am

or you can buy 3x bull ETF INDL...but careful to have trailing stops

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Post by truthbetold Wed Apr 02, 2014 8:23 pm

Indl is on tear recently.  A word of caution.  Fund total capital is less than 50M.  Very volatile.  INP or some of the other names mentioned are safer but lower return lower risk alternatives.  India also has many ADRs on exchange.

Question:  Is there a safeway to buy Indian exchange traded stocks or funds?

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Post by rawemotions Thu Apr 03, 2014 9:09 am

Propagandhi711 wrote:I was talking about INDA, raw but own INP in my wife's 401k acct...that's the only one I have access to in that account.

PS here's a table showing performance of various countries' ETFs against other equities. makes a big case for rotating out of US equities which have been going up for past 18-24 months into emerging markets, euro-pacific etc:

big changes Bespoke
Thank you Propa. BTW why did EPI /PIN/ INDA and pretty much all India based funds fall 1.5% today? Indian market has not fallen so much around 0.5%. Did  any big Large Caps fall in India ?
In your opinion, does it make sense for wait for these to hit support levels before getting in OR  even at these levels you find them attractive. I hear news reports about Money going back to emerging Market ETF's, but in India, any sort of hung Parliament or worse (Maya+Mamta + supported by Congress+) can cause massive swings to the downward side. So won't investors actually wait for the election results ?

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Post by Propagandhi711 Thu Apr 03, 2014 9:24 am

rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:I was talking about INDA, raw but own INP in my wife's 401k acct...that's the only one I have access to in that account.

PS here's a table showing performance of various countries' ETFs against other equities. makes a big case for rotating out of US equities which have been going up for past 18-24 months into emerging markets, euro-pacific etc:

big changes Bespoke
Thank you Propa. BTW why did EPI /PIN/ INDA and pretty much all India based funds fall 1.5% today? Indian market has not fallen so much around 0.5%. Did  any big Large Caps fall in India ?
In your opinion, does it make sense for wait for these to hit support levels before getting in OR  even at these levels you find them attractive. I hear news reports about Money going back to emerging Market ETF's, but in India, any sort of hung Parliament or worse (Maya+Mamta + supported by Congress+) can cause massive swings to the downward side. So won't investors actually wait for the election results ?

I think indian rupee will go up relative to dollar owing to the change in leadership both at the reserve bank and central govt and falling interest rates when rupee recovers will cause market to catch fire. that's at macro level.[size=12.800000190734863] I think it'll be too late to wait for election results, better to get in and use tight stop losses.[/size][size=12.800000190734863] jmo[/size]

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Post by rawemotions Thu Apr 03, 2014 9:41 am

Propagandhi711 wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:I was talking about INDA, raw but own INP in my wife's 401k acct...that's the only one I have access to in that account.

PS here's a table showing performance of various countries' ETFs against other equities. makes a big case for rotating out of US equities which have been going up for past 18-24 months into emerging markets, euro-pacific etc:

big changes Bespoke
Thank you Propa. BTW why did EPI /PIN/ INDA and pretty much all India based funds fall 1.5% today? Indian market has not fallen so much around 0.5%. Did  any big Large Caps fall in India ?
In your opinion, does it make sense for wait for these to hit support levels before getting in OR  even at these levels you find them attractive. I hear news reports about Money going back to emerging Market ETF's, but in India, any sort of hung Parliament or worse (Maya+Mamta + supported by Congress+) can cause massive swings to the downward side. So won't investors actually wait for the election results ?

I think indian rupee will go up relative to dollar owing to the change in leadership both at the reserve bank and central govt and falling interest rates when rupee recovers will cause market to catch fire. that's at macro level. I think it'll be too late to wait for election results, better to get in and use tight stop losses. jmo
I agree that INR will go up, but interest rates is not just a function of Exchange rate alone .Isn't interest rates also not depend on domestic inflation? Infact I thought interest rates is primarily dictated by domestic inflation. I know NDA folks coming in are in favor of reducing interest rates to spur growth (but I am not discussing those kind of inorganic changes here). Basically I am not clear about the connection between Exchange rate and domestic interest rates. 

Could you kindly explain that connection?

Moreover, with 130 Billion of Short Term External Debt about to expire in 2014, the exchange rate will be under pressure, until all these have been refinanced. I am not including  Big Policy moves by the new government here, which can cause massive swings, as we do not know anything about that. 

Also why did it fall 1.5% today ? I am puzzled that these funds can fall a lot more than the indexes. Clearly some of the underlying stock took a hit, how do i find that info ?

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Post by Propagandhi711 Thu Apr 03, 2014 9:53 am

rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:I was talking about INDA, raw but own INP in my wife's 401k acct...that's the only one I have access to in that account.

PS here's a table showing performance of various countries' ETFs against other equities. makes a big case for rotating out of US equities which have been going up for past 18-24 months into emerging markets, euro-pacific etc:

big changes Bespoke
Thank you Propa. BTW why did EPI /PIN/ INDA and pretty much all India based funds fall 1.5% today? Indian market has not fallen so much around 0.5%. Did  any big Large Caps fall in India ?
In your opinion, does it make sense for wait for these to hit support levels before getting in OR  even at these levels you find them attractive. I hear news reports about Money going back to emerging Market ETF's, but in India, any sort of hung Parliament or worse (Maya+Mamta + supported by Congress+) can cause massive swings to the downward side. So won't investors actually wait for the election results ?

I think indian rupee will go up relative to dollar owing to the change in leadership both at the reserve bank and central govt and falling interest rates when rupee recovers will cause market to catch fire. that's at macro level. I think it'll be too late to wait for election results, better to get in and use tight stop losses. jmo
I agree that INR will go up, but interest rates is not just a function of Exchange rate alone .Isn't interest rates also not depend on domestic inflation? Infact I thought interest rates is primarily dictated by domestic inflation. I know NDA folks coming in are in favor of reducing interest rates to spur growth (but I am not discussing those kind of inorganic changes here). Basically I am not clear about the connection between Exchange rate and domestic interest rates. 

Could you kindly explain that connection?

Moreover, with 130 Billion of Short Term External Debt about to expire in 2014, the exchange rate will be under pressure, until all these have been refinanced. I am not including  Big Policy moves by the new government here, which can cause massive swings, as we do not know anything about that. 

Also why did it fall 1.5% today ? I am puzzled that these funds can fall a lot more than the indexes. Clearly some of the underlying stock took a hit, how do i find that info ?

I'm thinking that INR strengthening will bring down some import costs of fuel etc which will reduce inflation rate to a certain degree. add relaxation of FDI controls which will put the country on path to control inflation even further. once this happens, rajaram can cut interest rates which he increased to control the shorting of currency. then add the desire on part of new govt to spur growth and you have a recipe for lower interest rates early next year.

some these ETFs are leverage instruments, so generally exaggerated moves to upside or downside. I dont know the particulars of the ETF you're talking about, just throwing it out there

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Post by rawemotions Thu Apr 03, 2014 10:00 am

Propagandhi711 wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:I was talking about INDA, raw but own INP in my wife's 401k acct...that's the only one I have access to in that account.

PS here's a table showing performance of various countries' ETFs against other equities. makes a big case for rotating out of US equities which have been going up for past 18-24 months into emerging markets, euro-pacific etc:

big changes Bespoke
Thank you Propa. BTW why did EPI /PIN/ INDA and pretty much all India based funds fall 1.5% today? Indian market has not fallen so much around 0.5%. Did  any big Large Caps fall in India ?
In your opinion, does it make sense for wait for these to hit support levels before getting in OR  even at these levels you find them attractive. I hear news reports about Money going back to emerging Market ETF's, but in India, any sort of hung Parliament or worse (Maya+Mamta + supported by Congress+) can cause massive swings to the downward side. So won't investors actually wait for the election results ?

I think indian rupee will go up relative to dollar owing to the change in leadership both at the reserve bank and central govt and falling interest rates when rupee recovers will cause market to catch fire. that's at macro level. I think it'll be too late to wait for election results, better to get in and use tight stop losses. jmo
I agree that INR will go up, but interest rates is not just a function of Exchange rate alone .Isn't interest rates also not depend on domestic inflation? Infact I thought interest rates is primarily dictated by domestic inflation. I know NDA folks coming in are in favor of reducing interest rates to spur growth (but I am not discussing those kind of inorganic changes here). Basically I am not clear about the connection between Exchange rate and domestic interest rates. 

Could you kindly explain that connection?

Moreover, with 130 Billion of Short Term External Debt about to expire in 2014, the exchange rate will be under pressure, until all these have been refinanced. I am not including  Big Policy moves by the new government here, which can cause massive swings, as we do not know anything about that. 

Also why did it fall 1.5% today ? I am puzzled that these funds can fall a lot more than the indexes. Clearly some of the underlying stock took a hit, how do i find that info ?

I'm thinking that INR strengthening will bring down some import costs of fuel etc which will reduce inflation rate to a certain degree. add relaxation of FDI controls which will put the country on path to control inflation even further. once this happens, rajaram can cut interest rates which he increased to control the shorting of currency. then add the desire on part of new govt to spur growth and you have a recipe for lower interest rates early next year.

some these ETFs are leverage instruments, so generally exaggerated moves to upside or downside. I dont know the particulars of the ETF you're talking about, just throwing it out there
Makes sense. Thanks for the clarification.

What do you mean by Leverage Instruments? Are you saying the ETF's  invest in derivatives OR that they indulge in Margin Trading ?

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Post by Propagandhi711 Thu Apr 03, 2014 10:25 am

rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Propagandhi711 wrote:
rawemotions wrote:
Thank you Propa. BTW why did EPI /PIN/ INDA and pretty much all India based funds fall 1.5% today? Indian market has not fallen so much around 0.5%. Did  any big Large Caps fall in India ?
In your opinion, does it make sense for wait for these to hit support levels before getting in OR  even at these levels you find them attractive. I hear news reports about Money going back to emerging Market ETF's, but in India, any sort of hung Parliament or worse (Maya+Mamta + supported by Congress+) can cause massive swings to the downward side. So won't investors actually wait for the election results ?

I think indian rupee will go up relative to dollar owing to the change in leadership both at the reserve bank and central govt and falling interest rates when rupee recovers will cause market to catch fire. that's at macro level. I think it'll be too late to wait for election results, better to get in and use tight stop losses. jmo
I agree that INR will go up, but interest rates is not just a function of Exchange rate alone .Isn't interest rates also not depend on domestic inflation? Infact I thought interest rates is primarily dictated by domestic inflation. I know NDA folks coming in are in favor of reducing interest rates to spur growth (but I am not discussing those kind of inorganic changes here). Basically I am not clear about the connection between Exchange rate and domestic interest rates. 

Could you kindly explain that connection?

Moreover, with 130 Billion of Short Term External Debt about to expire in 2014, the exchange rate will be under pressure, until all these have been refinanced. I am not including  Big Policy moves by the new government here, which can cause massive swings, as we do not know anything about that. 

Also why did it fall 1.5% today ? I am puzzled that these funds can fall a lot more than the indexes. Clearly some of the underlying stock took a hit, how do i find that info ?

I'm thinking that INR strengthening will bring down some import costs of fuel etc which will reduce inflation rate to a certain degree. add relaxation of FDI controls which will put the country on path to control inflation even further. once this happens, rajaram can cut interest rates which he increased to control the shorting of currency. then add the desire on part of new govt to spur growth and you have a recipe for lower interest rates early next year.

some these ETFs are leverage instruments, so generally exaggerated moves to upside or downside. I dont know the particulars of the ETF you're talking about, just throwing it out there
Makes sense. Thanks for the clarification.

What do you mean by Leverage Instruments? Are you saying the ETF's  invest in derivatives OR that they indulge in Margin Trading ?

I know INDL does derivatives, not sure if INDA does being a passive ETF...bottomline, am not sure about why it's moves are magnified when the underlying index hasnt moved much.

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Post by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Sat Apr 05, 2014 12:56 am

I moved all mu 401K money in equities and stocks to MMKT and bonds on Thursday.

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