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Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by Merlot Daruwala Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:15 pm
NDTV: NDTV opinion poll: BJP and allies cross 272 mark. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwp7SGrRo
Merlot Daruwala- Posts : 5005
Join date : 2011-04-29
Re: Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by confuzzled dude Mon Apr 14, 2014 8:31 pm
Did BJP lose 10+ seats over the weekend I thought some polls projected 240+ for BJP alone and this poll says 226.
confuzzled dude- Posts : 10205
Join date : 2011-05-08
Re: Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by Rishi Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:01 pm
Merlot Daruwala wrote:NDTV: NDTV opinion poll: BJP and allies cross 272 mark. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwp7SGrRo
>>>Do you believe these polls accurately predict the election outcomes?
Rishi- Posts : 5129
Join date : 2011-09-02
Re: Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by rawemotions Mon Apr 14, 2014 9:33 pm
What is NDTV's track record in 2004/2009. With such track records I do not know how we can believe thes guys.Rishi wrote:Merlot Daruwala wrote:NDTV: NDTV opinion poll: BJP and allies cross 272 mark. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwp7SGrRo
>>>Do you believe these polls accurately predict the election outcomes?
Prannoy Roy is a Left leaning individual. Though erudite and eloquent, his left leanings and anti-BJP tilt of NDTV is well known.
His whole idea is to give the impression, that NDA is going to get majority and lull BJP workers to complacency
He pointedly hushes up Kulkarni and Zoya alluding to Tactical Block voting by Muslims.
Allegedly, there is a Massive ground operation being conducted to ensure tactical block voting by Muslims against Modi
in each constituency, It is being done, IRONICALLY because Modi refuses to favor Muslims over Hindus in violation of the constitution of India,
and also being done, completely disregarding his Pro-development politics.
NDTV wants to play this down. He does not want Hindus knowing this and counter mobilize for Modi in urban and semi-urban centers.
BJP is not doing so well in Karnataka or orissa. UP Numbers sound bogus.
With four cornered contests dividing Hindus, and Muslims tactically voting
BSP/SP or Congress, and Congress striving hard to Divide Hindus to deny NDA the majority. It is a nightmare.
NDA should continuously strive to get as many people to vote BJP as possible, work very very hard and keep fingers crossed
and just ignore opinion polls. They should think that they are getting something like 150 and work hard to get 100 more.
The real numbers could possibly be atleast 40-50 seats lower, and even worse if NDA does not work hard and get
lulled into complacency with these kind of cooked up opinion polls.
rawemotions- Posts : 1690
Join date : 2011-05-03
Re: Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by Merlot Daruwala Tue Apr 15, 2014 12:52 am
Rishi wrote:Merlot Daruwala wrote:NDTV: NDTV opinion poll: BJP and allies cross 272 mark. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwp7SGrRo
>>>Do you believe these polls accurately predict the election outcomes?
No, but the directional trend is important. In February, the same pollsters were predicting 226 seats for the NDA and it went to 259 by March. And now it has crossed 272. Conversely, the Congress tally has slipped from ~120 in Feb to ~95 now. These trends are good predictors IMO.
Merlot Daruwala- Posts : 5005
Join date : 2011-04-29
Re: Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by confuzzled dude Tue Apr 15, 2014 8:04 am
Isn't it pretty much given with high voter turnout in initial phasesMerlot Daruwala wrote:Rishi wrote:Merlot Daruwala wrote:NDTV: NDTV opinion poll: BJP and allies cross 272 mark. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwp7SGrRo
>>>Do you believe these polls accurately predict the election outcomes?
No, but the directional trend is important. In February, the same pollsters were predicting 226 seats for the NDA and it went to 259 by March. And now it has crossed 272. Conversely, the Congress tally has slipped from ~120 in Feb to ~95 now. These trends are good predictors IMO.
confuzzled dude- Posts : 10205
Join date : 2011-05-08
Re: Latest poll gives NDA a majority
by Rishi Tue Apr 15, 2014 8:10 pm
confuzzled dude wrote:Isn't it pretty much given with high voter turnout in initial phasesMerlot Daruwala wrote:Rishi wrote:Merlot Daruwala wrote:NDTV: NDTV opinion poll: BJP and allies cross 272 mark. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwp7SGrRo
>>>Do you believe these polls accurately predict the election outcomes?
No, but the directional trend is important. In February, the same pollsters were predicting 226 seats for the NDA and it went to 259 by March. And now it has crossed 272. Conversely, the Congress tally has slipped from ~120 in Feb to ~95 now. These trends are good predictors IMO.
Merlot
Setting aside all your politics, I have to admit You are quite a sharp fellow.
Rishi- Posts : 5129
Join date : 2011-09-02
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