10% chance of draw?

by confuzzled dude Sun Jul 24, 2011 7:56 pm

I would bump it to 25% if Sachin is fit enough to bat, and with Gambhir's X-ray showing no fracture (he hasn't scored a ton in nearly 10 tests), probably blessing in disguise that he gets to bat down the order. To me Laxman is the key player, we need a big one (150+) from him to draw this one, he is our KP.

by MaxEntropy_Man Sun Jul 24, 2011 8:03 pm

sachin will bat at #5 or after lunch whichever comes first. gambhir is fit enough to bat. when d & l are in charge i always give them the odds. how many times have we seen this movie before?

and mucho are you forgetting the laughenator, the great indian batting hope?

by Guest Sun Jul 24, 2011 8:05 pm

Max, someone on CH is looking for you.

by MaxEntropy_Man Sun Jul 24, 2011 8:07 pm

they can post here if they want a response. i don't post on sulekha.

by confuzzled dude Sun Jul 24, 2011 8:13 pm

MaxEntropy_Man wrote:when d & l are in charge i always give them the odds. how many times have we seen this movie before?

Very true, first half hour would be the key.

MaxEntropy_Man wrote:
and mucho are you forgetting the laughenator, the great indian batting hope?

This morning, they were comparing Broad and Bhajji's batting stats in the last year or so given their batting position, so like Broad, he may come good this time around. Personally, I think Broad is much better bat, technically sound than Turbanator

by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Sun Jul 24, 2011 9:12 pm

confuzzled dude wrote:
MaxEntropy_Man wrote:when d & l are in charge i always give them the odds. how many times have we seen this movie before?

Very true, first half hour would be the key.

To be honest, unless these 2 drag on until after lunch, I would not be too confident of saving the test. Forget Raina, Lafbhajan, Zaheer. Then gambhir, Dhoni and SRT cannot be expected to last too long, although they might try their best and hang on for a while. I am sure the English are thinking along this angle. These 2 guys should hang on as long as possible, and then hope the second new ball that comes around tea time will be handled by whoever is left at that time.

In other words, when I start watching the game tomorrow around tea time, the game might be over.... Razz

by truthbetold Sun Jul 24, 2011 10:11 pm

India will lose complete control of their destination even if one of Dravid/Laxman were out before tea on final day. One of their departure opens the door for regular loss of wickets. I think even if one of them is out after Tea, Rest of the team may be able to hang in there for a tame draw.

by confuzzled dude Sun Jul 24, 2011 10:52 pm

truthbetold wrote:India will lose complete control of their destination even if one of Dravid/Laxman were out before tea on final day. One of their departure opens the door for regular loss of wickets. I think even if one of them is out after Tea, Rest of the team may be able to hang in there for a tame draw.

I know, these days Dhoni is suffering from acute defense syndrome, but Raina is capable of playing a blinder. Batting looked so easy when Prior & Brod were at the crease unless it was a result our kapthaan's (draconian) strategy (as Max mentioned)

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 1:59 am

i am not that pessimistic. i think IND will be able to draw this easily. but that's not what is expected of number 1 side (injuries or not). IND must go for the win to prove to the world that they have grabbed number 1 position because they deserve it and not because no other side could claim it. think AUS. they, when they were number 1, would have gone for the win. that's what should differentiate number 1 side from the rest.

but dhobi, who wants to keep his record intact, will not go for it (heck, he did not even try it against WI (hahaha)). therefore, i think we will settle for a draw. laxman is looking fluent and dravid is as solid as ever. given that and the fact that we still have gambhir, SRT, dhobi and raina to bat, we should be able to eke out a draw. now that the ball is not that new, broad & co (sorry, mr anderson) are not that threatening. swann will be the key, but he is bowling to IND - the best players of spin. i would really like to see IND trying to chase it down than to meekly play for time and draw. we'll know in about 4 hours from now.

by confuzzled dude Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:34 am

Dravid gone, man that's a big blow.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:37 am

yes, it is. now a lot depends on laxman. he will deliver, as always. he looks fluent and is positive. and gambhir might live up to his expectations in the fourth innings, after all.

i still have not lost hopes. i think IND would have taken 94/2 at the beginning of the fourth innings.

by MaxEntropy_Man Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:38 am

why did he go fishing? very uncharacteristic of dravid. happens to the best i suppose.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:48 am

this poster logs on to bet365 and bets a million rupees on laxman's 100. then he calls his friends and asks them to expect a party from him over the weekend absolutely certain that he will make some money out of it.

by truthbetold Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:54 am

Why do some of you insist on calling dhoni as Dhobi? An occassional insulting name is one thing but constant use of dhobi exhibits a social bias.

Now that Dravid is gone, it is only a matter of time before the test is lost.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:03 am

because dhobi plays like a dhobi. he is effective, no doubt, but his play resembles the daily grind of a dhobi.

one hour and 13 overs later, IND has lost just one wicket. good stuff, this. another hour without a wicket and we are good. gambhir needs to play swann carefully.

by truthbetold Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:12 am

Another Brick wrote:because dhobi plays like a dhobi. he is effective, no doubt, but his play resembles the daily grind of a dhobi.

one hour and 13 overs later, IND has lost just one wicket. good stuff, this. another hour without a wicket and we are good. gambhir needs to play swann carefully.

Dhoni is an unorthodox player and incredibly effective in all forms of the game. He proved to be the most dynamic and intelligent Captain of Indian team. Dhobi does not reflect his contributions and intelligence. In Indian context it is also not an endearing term.

Once dravid is gone, it opens one side for regular loss of wickets. I hope I am wrong but my prediction is India is on its way to lose the match (unless weather comes to rescue).

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:26 am

laxman on 52. good stuff this from him. as long as he is playing, i see no reason for IND to worry. only about 30 mins for lunch. one more session like this and we are through.

by truthbetold Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:40 am

Another Brick wrote:laxman on 52. good stuff this from him. as long as he is playing, i see no reason for IND to worry. only about 30 mins for lunch. one more session like this and we are through.

Frankly, I hope you are proven right.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:44 am

sh!t. laxman gone.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:46 am

and gambhir dutifully follows him. lost. this match is lost now.

by confuzzled dude Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:52 am

Another Brick wrote:and gambhir dutifully follows him. lost. this match is lost now.

all over I guess.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:00 am

should be over before tea. SRT looks tentative (just survived a sure shot LBW, thanks to no DRS for LBWs) and even raina and his mom won't for one moment believe that he can save the day. dhobi is a sitting duck in tests, anyway.

by Marathadi-Saamiyaar Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:53 am

WTF is Lafbhajan tried to do ? Who the hell asked him to hit ?

D R O P this useless guy.

by Another Brick Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:55 pm

yeah, seriously, drop the fuqer. what was he thinking? the pampered arseh0le does whatever that fancies him just because they keep selecting him as the main spinner. main spinner, my arse. why play him at all? they should perhaps play sreesanth in his place and ask raina/SRT/Sehwag to bowl. that should be the only change to the team composition for the next one.

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