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Log inUttar Pradeshis and Biharis will form workforce of the future in India
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Uttar Pradeshis and Biharis will form workforce of the future in India
by Guest Sun Mar 06, 2016 2:44 pm
The workforce of the future will come from Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, with developed States like Kerala and Tamil Nadu hitting — or even bypassing — their peaks, new census data shows.
Two simultaneous and opposing processes are going on in India, the ‘single year age data’ released by the office of the Census Commissioner on Friday reveals.
On the one hand, States like Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra and Himachal Pradesh have witnessed a fall in their absolute child population under the age of 14. “This was to be expected as the reduction in female fertility that began in the 70s in the southern States begins to have an impact,” said P. Arokiasamy, demographer and Professor in the Department of Development Studies at the International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS).
With the share of these States — and that of other States like Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Uttarakhand that have had only small increases in child population — in the total child population falling, the share of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, that still have high fertility, has risen sharply. One in every three children under the age of 14 in India comes from Bihar or Uttar Pradesh....
Seen together, the two processes imply that today’s children, who come overwhelmingly from U.P. and Bihar, will form the workforce of the future. This has major implications for State and Centre policy. For one, it means that northern States will have to spend more on school education, while southern States can begin to focus more on quality, Mr. Arokiasamy says. The other implication is, as Census Commissioner C. Chandramouli told The Hindu, that skill development is going to be make or break for India’s demographic dividend to pay off.
The southern States will also have to increasingly deal with the consequences of an ageing population.
While India as a whole has 8.5 per cent of its population over 60, Tamil Nadu and Kerala have older populations; nearly 13 per cent of Kerala is over the age of 60, a level comparable with those of northern European countries.
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/bihar-up-will-form-workforce-of-the-future/article5104741.ece
Two simultaneous and opposing processes are going on in India, the ‘single year age data’ released by the office of the Census Commissioner on Friday reveals.
On the one hand, States like Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra and Himachal Pradesh have witnessed a fall in their absolute child population under the age of 14. “This was to be expected as the reduction in female fertility that began in the 70s in the southern States begins to have an impact,” said P. Arokiasamy, demographer and Professor in the Department of Development Studies at the International Institute for Population Sciences (IIPS).
With the share of these States — and that of other States like Tamil Nadu, Gujarat and Uttarakhand that have had only small increases in child population — in the total child population falling, the share of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, that still have high fertility, has risen sharply. One in every three children under the age of 14 in India comes from Bihar or Uttar Pradesh....
Seen together, the two processes imply that today’s children, who come overwhelmingly from U.P. and Bihar, will form the workforce of the future. This has major implications for State and Centre policy. For one, it means that northern States will have to spend more on school education, while southern States can begin to focus more on quality, Mr. Arokiasamy says. The other implication is, as Census Commissioner C. Chandramouli told The Hindu, that skill development is going to be make or break for India’s demographic dividend to pay off.
The southern States will also have to increasingly deal with the consequences of an ageing population.
While India as a whole has 8.5 per cent of its population over 60, Tamil Nadu and Kerala have older populations; nearly 13 per cent of Kerala is over the age of 60, a level comparable with those of northern European countries.
http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/bihar-up-will-form-workforce-of-the-future/article5104741.ece
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