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reporting results while voting is still going on

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Post by rawemotions Tue Nov 06, 2012 7:45 pm

How is CNN able to report result while Voting is still going on ?

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Post by southindian Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:05 pm

Through exit polls. Mostly skewed but can have a good probability.

Virginia 49% to 49% at 7 PM EST
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Post by southindian Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:25 pm

Romney is opening strongly in this election. Up in Florida and Virginia
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Post by southindian Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:41 pm

Florida 26% in, Obama up by 2%
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Post by Idéfix Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:19 pm

They report each state as polls close there.
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Post by rawemotions Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:31 pm

Yes, counting would take time, so when Fox News/CNN says it calls a particular state for a candidate, without a complete vote tally, how are they able to do that, without counting of votes ?

Another member said it is based off exit polls ? Are exit polls so reliable that they use it to decide a state ?

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Post by Idéfix Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:41 pm

It is based on exit polls, but they only call states where the exit poll margins are big right after polls close. For the rest, they correlate exit polling with the actual precincts where counting happens and then call the state if there is a bigger margin than the margin if statistical error.
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Post by rawemotions Tue Nov 06, 2012 9:45 pm

That is what i thought too that it is exit polls. But there is no way they could have got a response from every single person casting the vote. So it also has to be based on some sample size. However CNN website reports Ohio as Obama having 742588 votes and Romney as 545000.

BTW with 21% of exit polls counted, Obama seem to have a 16% margin in Ohio. So by this logic they should have called Ohio for Obama. May be it will happen soon.

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Post by Idéfix Tue Nov 06, 2012 10:13 pm

No those vote numbers are actuals.
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Post by Guest Tue Nov 06, 2012 10:16 pm

Could they be early votes?

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Post by Idéfix Tue Nov 06, 2012 10:18 pm

Some if them are early votes, yes.
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